Socrates Journal of Interdisciplinary Social Studies ISSN: 2757-5519

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Summary


THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN EXCHANGE RATE, PRICE AND SIZE OF FOREIGN TRADE: AN ARDL BOUNDS TEST APPROACH

The paper investigates effects of real exchange rate, price and exchange rate volatility on foreign trade size of Turkey. Data set spans from January 2009 to June 2021. Since our variables have different stationary levels, ARDL Bound Test was determined as the most appropriate econometric method for the study. Our results indicates that real exchange rate, price and exchange rate volatility have no effect on export size of Turkey at all, while only exchange rate from amongst variables has significant effect on import size of Turkey. One percent change in real exchange rate causes only 0.3 percent increase or decrease in size of imports.



Keywords
Exchange Rate, Price, Volatility, Export, Import, ARDL

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